Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.397678 0.432969 0.471171 0.515804 0.566789 0.623531 0.691908
2025-11-02 0.331384 0.378693 0.433709 0.503255 0.590066 0.696581 0.839978
2025-11-09 0.292447 0.344740 0.408468 0.493463 0.606457 0.755566 0.974697
2025-11-16 0.265072 0.319769 0.388822 0.484825 0.619055 0.807235 1.105744
2025-11-23 0.244361 0.300328 0.373047 0.477712 0.630509 0.856484 1.241116
2025-11-30 0.232936 0.291484 0.369724 0.486285 0.664107 0.942302 1.453840
2025-12-07 0.219932 0.279166 0.360121 0.484160 0.680457 1.002719 1.637626
2025-12-14 0.208605 0.268129 0.351117 0.481520 0.694944 1.061581 1.834330
2025-12-21 0.196027 0.254388 0.337010 0.469417 0.691969 1.088594 1.973226
2025-12-28 0.191275 0.251392 0.338252 0.481197 0.730413 1.198133 2.331392
2026-01-04 0.185610 0.246623 0.336349 0.487495 0.759782 1.295697 2.701899
2026-01-11 0.179074 0.240127 0.331256 0.487852 0.778094 1.374037 3.057800
2026-01-18 0.170460 0.230276 0.320649 0.478511 0.778122 1.415901 3.339917
2026-01-25 0.162019 0.220310 0.309328 0.467116 0.773084 1.446417 3.608901
2026-02-01 0.154830 0.211886 0.299943 0.458307 0.772067 1.486392 3.937545
2026-02-08 0.148432 0.204362 0.291549 0.450537 0.772155 1.529261 4.309048
2026-02-15 0.142789 0.197744 0.284246 0.444134 0.774289 1.578070 4.745398
2026-02-22 0.140198 0.195794 0.284540 0.451850 0.807995 1.720332 5.743637
2026-03-01 0.136048 0.191150 0.280001 0.449938 0.819900 1.804895 6.558340
2026-03-08 0.132093 0.186638 0.275427 0.447562 0.830416 1.888668 7.488368
2026-03-15 0.126962 0.180009 0.266861 0.436663 0.819416 1.902913 7.997374
2026-03-22 0.125655 0.179561 0.269000 0.447272 0.861852 2.104001 10.256539
2026-03-29 0.123624 0.177816 0.268736 0.452939 0.892932 2.278983 12.826678